{"id":14424,"date":"2026-04-28T15:41:41","date_gmt":"2026-04-28T15:41:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nlka.net\/ku\/?p=14424"},"modified":"2026-04-28T15:41:41","modified_gmt":"2026-04-28T15:41:41","slug":"1-201","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nlka.net\/ku\/1-201\/","title":{"rendered":"Huzbullah di navbera du kevanan de: \u015e\u00ee\u00ee \u00fb Osman\u00ee"},"content":{"rendered":"

Yek\u00eeneya L\u00eakol\u00een\u00ean Tirk\u00ee<\/strong><\/p>\n

Made bi ereb\u00ee j\u00ee heye \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0629<\/a><\/p>\n

Bi r\u00fbxandina lezg\u00een a serweriya \u00ceran\u00ea, Tirkiya wek\u00ee aktorek\u00ee navend\u00ee ku xwed\u00ee d\u00eetineke bi temam\u00ee cuda ji ya ku di du dehsal\u00ean bor\u00ee de serdest b\u00fb, derdikeve p\u00ea\u015f. T\u00eakiliy\u00ean di navbera Tirkiya \u00fb Hizbullah\u00ea de ne ten\u00ea guhartineke di l\u00eesteya hevalbendan de ye, l\u00ea bel\u00ea p\u00eanasekirineke ji n\u00fb ve ya cewher\u00ea aloz\u00ee \u00fb \u015fer bi xwe ye.<\/p>\n

Tirkiye hewl nade ku rola \u00ceran\u00ea wek\u00ee sponser\u00ea “Eksen\u00ea Berxwedan\u00ea” werbigire, l\u00ea bel\u00ea alternat\u00eefeke bi temam\u00ee cuda p\u00ea\u015fk\u00ea\u015f dike: Ji “berxwedana bi wekalet\u00ea” ber bi “dewleteke navend\u00ee” ya xwed\u00ee asoyek\u00ee her\u00eam\u00ee, ji “kevana \u015f\u00ee\u00ee” ber bi “kevana sun\u00ee (Osman\u00ee)”, herwiha ji “ziman\u00ea m\u00fb\u015fekan” ber bi “ziman\u00ea peymanan \u00fb bersivday\u00eena bi r\u00eaya saz\u00eeb\u00fbn\u00ea”<\/p>\n

Ev guhartina li her\u00eam\u00ea Huzbullah dixe nav tengasiyeke heb\u00fbn\u00ee: An entegrasyona di nav projeya tirk\u00ee de, ku nasnameya w\u00ea t\u00ea pi\u015faftin, an j\u00ee xetereya tecr\u00eed\u00ea ya temam, di demek\u00ea de ku hest dike ku bi windakirina pi\u015ftgiriya xwe ya \u00eeran\u00ee re r\u00fbbir\u00fb ye. Ya her\u00ee xeter j\u00ee ew e ku ev tengas\u00ee di bin s\u00eewana “kontrolkirin\u00ea” ya tirk\u00ee de p\u00eak t\u00ea, ku di r\u00fby\u00ea derve de wek\u00ee d\u00eeplomas\u00ee xuya dike, l\u00ea di k\u00fbrahiya xwe de stratej\u00eek e.<\/p>\n

Yekem: Rast\u00ee dipeyivin: Tov\u00ean senaryoy\u00ea li ser erd\u00ea hatine \u00e7andin<\/strong><\/p>\n

Axaftina derbar\u00ea peywendiy\u00ean Tirkiyay\u00ea bi Huzbullah\u00ea re \u00ead\u00ee ne ten\u00ea texm\u00een\u00ean \u00eestixbarat\u00ee an j\u00ee anal\u00eez\u00ean teor\u00eek in. N\u00ee\u015faney\u00ean ku di meh\u00ean bor\u00ee de kom b\u00fbne, d\u00eemenek\u00ee n\u00fb e\u015fkere dikin ku li ber \u00e7av\u00ean me t\u00ea avakirin:<\/p>\n

Gir\u00eadana dijminan: Enqera wek\u00ee navbeyankarek\u00ee bi bandor di navenda t\u00eakiliy\u00ean tevlihev \u00ean s\u00fbriyay\u00ee\u2013lubnan\u00ee de cih digire. Di v\u00ea \u00e7ar\u00e7ovey\u00ea de, ji aliyek\u00ee ve bi Huzbullah\u00ea re dide \u00fb dist\u00eene \u00fb ji aliyek\u00ee din ve j\u00ee bi hik\u00fbmeta n\u00fb ya S\u00fbriyay\u00ea li \u015eam\u00ea re -ku dijmin\u00ea d\u00eerok\u00ee y\u00ea Hizbullah\u00ea ye- kord\u00eeney\u00ea dike. Ev cih, Tirkiyay\u00ea tam wek\u00ee “\u00c7\u00eaker\u00ea l\u00eestok\u00ea” p\u00eanase dike: Ji ber ku ew ten\u00ea dikare kanalan veke an bigire, derbasb\u00fbna \u00e7ekan h\u00easan bike an j\u00ee asteng bike, ewlehiya h\u00eaz\u00ean le\u015fker\u00ee \u00a0misoger bike an j\u00ee wan radest bike.<\/p>\n

Hi\u015fyariya d\u00eeplomat\u00eek: Dema ku Wez\u00eer\u00ea Kar\u00ea Derve y\u00ea Tirkiyey\u00ea Hakan F\u00eedan hi\u015fyariya \u00eehtimala “qirkirina n\u00fb” li Lubnan\u00ea di bin bihaneya \u015fer\u00ea li dij\u00ee Hizbullah\u00ea da, ew ne Huzbullah wek\u00ee heb\u00fbnek siyas\u00ee diparast. F\u00eedan bi ziman\u00ea d\u00eeplomat\u00eek \u00fb ewlehiy\u00ea ragihand ku Tirkiya xwe wek\u00ee “par\u00eazvan\u00ea” n\u00fb y\u00ea Lubnan\u00ea dib\u00eene \u00fb ku ti\u015ft\u00ean ku \u00cesra\u00eel li Lubnan\u00ea dike, wek\u00ee gefek li ser berfirehb\u00fbna bandora Tirkiyay\u00ea t\u00ea hesibandin. Cudahiya bingeh\u00een ev e: Parastin ne t\u00ea wateya parastina Huzbullah\u00ea wek\u00ee mil\u00ees, l\u00ea parastina dewleta Lubnan\u00ea wek\u00ee heb\u00fbneke siyas\u00ee ye. Bi v\u00ee away\u00ee, Tirkiya xwe ji m\u00eerasa le\u015fker\u00ee ya Huzbullah\u00ea d\u00fbr dixe, l\u00ea m\u00eerasa erd\u00eengar\u00ee ya Lubnan\u00ea di \u00e7ar\u00e7oveya xwe de digire.<\/p>\n

P\u00ea\u015fniyaza peymana parastin\u00ea: Ji bo pi\u015ftrastkirina v\u00ea meyl\u00ea, rojnameya “Daily Sabah” (di \u00e7ileya 2026an de), ya n\u00eaz\u00ee navend\u00ean biryargirtin\u00ea li Tirkiyay\u00ea, anal\u00eezeke berfireh belav kir \u00fb t\u00ea de p\u00ea\u015fniyar kir ku di navbera Enqera \u00fb Beyr\u00fbt\u00ea de peymaneke parastin\u00ea ya hevbe\u015f were \u00eemzekirin. Ev p\u00ea\u015fniyar ne ten\u00ea n\u00ear\u00eenek rojnamevan\u00ee b\u00fb, l\u00ea bel\u00ea n\u00ee\u015faneya stratejiyeke zelal b\u00fb: Tirkiya amade ye valahiya ewlehiy\u00ea ya ku Huzbullah \u00e7\u00eadike, dagire.<\/p>\n

Duyem: Tirkiya \u00e7i dixwaze?<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00censiyat\u00eef\u00ean tirk\u00ee di \u00e7ar\u00e7oveya armanc\u00ean stratej\u00eek \u00ean k\u00fbr de ne, ku ji destkeftiy\u00ean takt\u00eek \u00ean rojane derbas dikin \u00fb ber bi jin\u00fbvesazkirina tevahiya s\u00eestema her\u00eam\u00ee ve di\u00e7in:
\nArmanca yekem\u00een: Serweriya \u00ceran\u00ea ji Tirkiyay\u00ea re di\u00e7e<\/strong><\/p>\n

Rayedar\u00ean Enqere dizanin ku Huzbullah ne ten\u00ea komeke mil\u00eesan e ku dikare bi h\u00eaza le\u015fker\u00ee were hilwe\u015fandin, l\u00ea bel\u00ea bingeheke civak\u00ee, siyas\u00ee \u00fb le\u015fker\u00ee ya k\u00fbr e ku di axa Lubnan\u00ea de hatiye \u00e7andin. Lewra, her r\u00fbbir\u00fbb\u00fbna rasterast bi Huzbullah re d\u00ea bibe sedema \u015ferek\u00ee dir\u00eaj a zirar\u00ea ku ne di xizmeta projeya tirk\u00ee de ye. Ji ber v\u00ea yek\u00ea, Tirkiyey\u00ea hewl dide veguhestineke “nerm” a serwer\u00ee an j\u00ee desthilatdariy\u00ea ji dest\u00ea \u00ceran\u00ea p\u00eak b\u00eene, b\u00ea ku guleyek\u00ea j\u00ee were av\u00eatin \u00fb w\u00ea wek\u00ee kaxezeke dan\u00fbstandin\u00ea li hember\u00ee \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea bikar b\u00eene.<\/p>\n

Armanca duyem\u00een: Kaxezeke fi\u015far\u00ea ya stratej\u00eek li dij \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea<\/strong><\/p>\n

Tirkiya li S\u00fbriyey\u00ea ji ber stratejiy\u00ean \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea r\u00fbbir\u00fby\u00ea fi\u015far\u00ean k\u00fbr t\u00ea. Ev fi\u015far n\u00ee\u015fan didin ku Enqera di qada S\u00fbriyay\u00ea ya tevlihev de di nav dorp\u00ea\u00e7ek\u00ea de ye.<\/p>\n

Di vir de, rola Lubnan\u00ea wek\u00ee kaxezeke gir\u00eeng a fi\u015far\u00ea li dij \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea derdikeve hol\u00ea. Di v\u00ea \u00e7ar\u00e7ovey\u00ea de, her te\u015feyek z\u00eadekirina \u015fer ya \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea li dij Lubnan\u00ea, ji aliy\u00ea Tirkiyay\u00ea ve dikare wek\u00ee “\u00ear\u00ee\u015fek li dij netewey\u00ea” \u00fb gefek li ber berjewendiy\u00ean w\u00ea were d\u00eetin ku bersivday\u00een\u00ea p\u00eaw\u00eest dib\u00eene. Ev ne ten\u00ea ji bo Lubnan\u00ea bi xwe ye, l\u00ea ji bo hevsengkirina fi\u015far\u00ean \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea di S\u00fbriyay\u00ea de ye. Cewher\u00ea cudahiy\u00ea ji p\u00eavajoya ber\u00ea ya Hizbullah\u00ea re di away\u00ea fi\u015far\u00ea de ye: Di demek\u00ea de ku Huzbullah fi\u015far\u00ea bi r\u00eaya m\u00fb\u015fekan \u00fb operasyon\u00ean le\u015fker\u00ee y\u00ean nesaz\u00eekir\u00ee dikir, Tirkiya d\u00ea heb\u00fbna le\u015fker\u00ee ya ferm\u00ee, d\u00eeplomas\u00eeya navdewlet\u00ee, \u00eeht\u00eemala girtina qada heway\u00ee \u00fb bikaran\u00eena hevalbend\u00ean her\u00eam\u00ee wek\u00ee am\u00fbr\u00ean fi\u015far\u00ea bi kar b\u00eene.<\/p>\n

Ev fi\u015far ji bo \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea ji fi\u015far\u00ean kom\u00ean \u00e7ekdar re z\u00eadetir xerabtir e, ji ber ku Tileb\u00eeb r\u00fbbir\u00fby\u00ea dewleteke xwed\u00ee serwer\u00ee t\u00ea, ne r\u00fbbir\u00fby\u00ea r\u00eaxistineke \u00e7ekdar\u00ee ye. Ev yek j\u00ee, r\u00eabaz\u00ean bersivday\u00eena le\u015fker\u00ee s\u00eenordar dike \u00fb hesab\u00ean navnetewey\u00ee y\u00ean tevlihev ferz dike.<\/p>\n

Armanca s\u00eayem\u00een: Bikarn\u00eena lawaziya \u00ceran\u00ea<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ji ber \u00ear\u00ee\u015f\u00ean Amer\u00eeka \u00fb \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea di sibat \u00fb adara 2026an de, \u00ceran \u00eero r\u00fbbir\u00fby\u00ea aloziyek heb\u00fbn\u00ee ya b\u00eahempa t\u00ea. Ev hilwe\u015fandina lezg\u00een, Huzbullah wek\u00ee “\u00e7ekek b\u00ea ser\u00ee” an j\u00ee wek\u00ee h\u00eazeke ku \u00ead\u00ee nikare parastin \u00fb f\u00eenansey\u00ea bike, hi\u015ftiye. Di v\u00ea valahiy\u00ea de, Tirkiya xwe wek\u00ee “alternat\u00eef\u00ea xwezay\u00ee” n\u00ee\u015fan dide.<\/p>\n

– Parastin: Bersivday\u00eena siyas\u00ee \u00fb le\u015fker\u00ee ya neasay\u00ee, ku xwe disp\u00eare heb\u00fbna le\u015fker\u00ee \u00fb peymanan, li \u015f\u00fbna kord\u00eeneya ve\u015fart\u00ee.<\/p>\n

– F\u00eenansekirin: Aboriya vekir\u00ee \u00fb t\u00eakiliy\u00ean bazirgan\u00ee y\u00ean navdewlet\u00ee, li \u015f\u00fbna aboriya dorp\u00ea\u00e7kir\u00ee \u00fb cezayan.<\/p>\n

– F\u00eenansekirin: Aboriya vekir\u00ee \u00fb t\u00eakiliy\u00ean bazirgan\u00ee y\u00ean navdewlet\u00ee, li \u015f\u00fbna abor\u00eeya dorp\u00ea\u00e7kir\u00ee \u00fb cezayan.<\/p>\n

– Rewab\u00fbn: Toreya t\u00eakiliyan bi Erebistana Si\u00fbd\u00ee, Qeter, Misir \u00fb Pakistan\u00ea re ku dibe sedema jin\u00fbvevegerandina rewab\u00fbna ereb\u00ee ya Huzbullah\u00ea \u2013 an j\u00ee ti\u015ft\u00ea ku ji w\u00ea maye \u2013 ya ku bi destwerdana \u00ceran\u00ea re winda b\u00fbb\u00fb.<\/p>\n

Ti\u015ft\u00ean ku Tirkiya dixwaze e\u015fkere ne: Radestkirina \u00e7ek\u00ean giran ji dewlet\u00ea re, qeb\u00fblkirina ku Huzbullah ten\u00ea wek\u00ee heb\u00fbnek siyas\u00ee ya Lubnan\u00ee be, ne wek\u00ee \u015faxek\u00ee her\u00eam\u00ee y\u00ea \u00ceran\u00ea. Herwiha, di S\u00fbriyay\u00ea de j\u00ee Huzbullah div\u00ea tu gav\u00ean ku projeya tirk\u00ee asteng bikin, neav\u00eaje.<\/p>\n

Armanca \u00e7arem: D\u00eezaynkirina hevsengiyeke n\u00fb ya her\u00eam\u00ee<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ev armanca her\u00ee k\u00fbr \u00fb xeternak e. Tirkiya ne ten\u00ea dixwaze “dijberiy\u00ea” \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea bike an j\u00ee valahiya \u00ceran\u00ea dagire, l\u00ea bel\u00ea hewl dide nex\u015feya h\u00eaz\u00ean li Rojhilata Nav\u00een bi tevah\u00ee ji n\u00fb ve d\u00eezayn bike.<\/p>\n

Beriya sala 2024an, hevsengiya her\u00eam\u00ee li ser du aliyan ava b\u00fbb\u00fb: “Eksena berxwedan\u00ea” (\u00ceran-Huzbullah-Hemas) li hember “Eksena nerm”(Si\u00fbd\u00ee-\u00cemarat-Misir) \u00fb \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea. R\u00fbbir\u00fbb\u00fbn hem mezheb\u00ee b\u00fb (\u015f\u00ee\u00ee-sun\u00ee) \u00fb hem j\u00ee le\u015fker\u00ee (mil\u00ees\u00ean \u00e7ekdar li dij\u00ee art\u00ea\u015f\u00ean s\u00eestemat\u00eek) b\u00fb.<\/p>\n

Senaryoya Tirkiyay\u00ea ya pi\u015ft\u00ee sala 2026an alternat\u00eefek c\u00fbda p\u00ea\u015fk\u00ea\u015f kir: Tirkiya wek\u00ee “serk\u00ea\u015fek\u00ee” sun\u00ee li \u015f\u00fbna \u00ceran\u00ea. Taybetmendiy\u00ean v\u00ea model\u00ea wiha ne:”<\/p>\n

– R\u00fbbir\u00fbb\u00fbnek li ser bingeha dewlet \u00fb rej\u00eem\u00ea, ne li ser bingeha mil\u00ees \u00fb wek\u00eelan.<\/p>\n

– Tevgerkirina c\u00eehana sun\u00ee (an j\u00ee be\u015fek mezin ji w\u00ea) bi r\u00eaveberiya Tirkiyay\u00ea, li \u015f\u00fbna eksena mezheb\u00ee ya \u015f\u00ee\u00ee.<\/p>\n

– Bikaran\u00eena kaxez\u00ean qan\u00fbn\u00ee, d\u00eeplomat\u00eek \u00fb abor\u00ee, li k\u00ealeka p\u00eawendiy\u00ean ewlekar\u00ee \u00fb le\u015fker\u00ee, di s\u00eenor\u00ean p\u00eakan de.<\/p>\n

\u00a0Di v\u00ea \u00e7ar\u00e7ovey\u00ea de, Huzbullah wek\u00ee “pireke derbasb\u00fbn\u00ea” ji modela \u00eeran\u00ee ber bi modela tirk\u00ee t\u00ea bikaran\u00een \u00fb armanc ne Huzbullah bi xwe ye. Ango Huzbullah ten\u00ea wek\u00ee am\u00fbreke veguhastin\u00ea t\u00ea bikaran\u00een \u00fb bi temamkirina p\u00eavajoy\u00ea w\u00ea ji hol\u00ea were rakirin.<\/p>\n

S\u00eayem\u00een: \u00cesra\u00eel \u00e7awa rew\u015f\u00ea dinirx\u00eene? \u00c7ar baweriy\u00ean stratej\u00eek<\/p>\n

Li Tileb\u00eeb\u00ea, anal\u00eest \u00fb stratej\u00eest van p\u00ea\u015fketinan bi fikarek z\u00eade di\u015fop\u00eenin \u00fb derdor\u00ean biryardan\u00ea y\u00ean \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea \u00e7ar baweriy\u00ean sereke formule kirine ku bersiv\u00ea bi r\u00ea ve dibin:<\/p>\n

“Tirkiya \u00cerana n\u00fb ye”<\/strong><\/p>\n

Di nav dezgeh\u00ean ewlehiy\u00ea y\u00ean \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea de, hevoka ku ji h\u00eala ramanwer Bernard Lewis ve hatiye gotin pir caran t\u00ea dubarekirin: “\u00ceran d\u00ea bibe Tirkiya \u00fb Tirkiya d\u00ea bibe \u00ceran.” Ango, \u00ceran, ku ber\u00ee hilwe\u015f\u00eena xwe ber bi nermb\u00fbn\u00ea ve di\u00e7\u00fb, meydan\u00ea ji bo Tirkiyay\u00ea, ku ber bi tundrewiya \u00eeslam\u00ee \u00fb neteweperest ve di\u00e7e, vekir\u00ee dih\u00eale.<\/p>\n

\u00cero \u00cesra\u00eel Tirkiyay\u00ea wek\u00ee gefek heb\u00fbn\u00ee dib\u00eene ku \u015f\u00fbna gefa \u00ceran\u00ea girtiye \u00fb di hin aliyan de h\u00een xeternaktir e. Dewleta Tirkiyay\u00ea ya r\u00eaxistinkir\u00ee, endamek NATOy\u00ea – tev\u00ee t\u00eakiliy\u00ean aloz – ji Komara \u00ceslam\u00ee ya \u00eezolekir\u00ee dijwariyeke tevlihevtir derdixe hol\u00ea.<\/p>\n

“S\u00fbriye meydan e, Libnan armanc e”<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00cesra\u00eel f\u00eam dike ku heb\u00fbna Tirkiyay\u00ea ya z\u00eade li S\u00fbriyay\u00ea ne armanca daw\u00een e, l\u00ea bel\u00ea p\u00ea\u015fgotinek ji bo berfirehb\u00fbna nav Libnan\u00ea ye. P\u00eanc xal\u00ean ku \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea li ba\u015f\u00fbr\u00ea Libnan\u00ea dagir kirine “k\u00fbrahiyek stratej\u00eek” a gir\u00eeng ji bo heb\u00fbna w\u00ea li \u00c7iyay\u00ea Hermon li S\u00fbriyay\u00ea tems\u00eel dikin.<\/p>\n

Her heb\u00fbneke le\u015fker\u00ee an ewlehiy\u00ea ya Tirkiyay\u00ea li Lubnan\u00ea d\u00ea di heman dem\u00ea de bandora Tirkiyay\u00ea li S\u00fbriyay\u00ea k\u00fbrtir bike \u00fb zext\u00ea li \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea bike ku ji her du deveran veki\u015fe. Ji ber v\u00ea yek\u00ea, Tileb\u00eeb Lubnan\u00ea wek\u00ee x\u00eazek sor dib\u00eene ku div\u00ea Enqera derbas\u00ee w\u00ea nebe.<\/p>\n

“Hilwe\u015fandin ber\u00ee bih\u00eazkirin\u00ea”<\/strong><\/p>\n

Li gor\u00ee v\u00ea \u015f\u00eerovey\u00ea, \u00cesra\u00eel stratejiyeke p\u00ea\u015fwext \u00fb \u00ear\u00ee\u015fkar di\u015fop\u00eene ku li ser prens\u00eebeke h\u00easan hatiye avakirin: L\u00eadana her ti\u015ft\u00ea ku Tirkiya dikare wek\u00ee \u00e7\u00eepek dan\u00fbstandin\u00ea an j\u00ee platformek destp\u00eakirin\u00ea bi kar b\u00eene. Ev dikare bibe sedema: Bombebarankirina binesaziya li Lubnan\u00ea ku dibe ku di p\u00ea\u015feroj\u00ea de h\u00eaz\u00ean Tirkiyay\u00ea maz\u00fbvan bike; domandina zext\u00ea li ser el\u00eet\u00ean siyas\u00ee y\u00ean Lubnan\u00ee y\u00ean al\u00eegir\u00ea \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea da ku wek\u00ee “bendek” li dij\u00ee bandora Tirkiyay\u00ea tevbigerin, ne wek\u00ee am\u00fbr\u00ean w\u00ea; \u00fb pi\u015ftgir\u00eekirina h\u00eaz\u00ean her\u00eam\u00ee y\u00ean li dij\u00ee berfirehb\u00fbna Tirkiyay\u00ea di nav Lubnan\u00ea de.<\/p>\n

“K\u00ealiya 1919an” – p\u00ea\u015fbirka valahiy\u00ea<\/strong><\/p>\n

Anal\u00eest\u00ean \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ee rew\u015fa hey\u00ee di\u015fib\u00eenin “k\u00ealiya 1919″an, dema ku \u00cemperatoriya Osman\u00ee pi\u015ft\u00ee \u015eer\u00ea C\u00eehan\u00ea y\u00ea Yekem hilwe\u015fiya \u00fb br\u00eetan\u00ee \u00fb frans\u00ee lez kirin ku her\u00eam\u00ea li gor\u00ee Peymana Sykes-Picot dabe\u015f bikin. \u00cero, bi hilwe\u015f\u00eena \u00cemperatoriya \u00ceran\u00ee ya Faris\u00ee, di navbera Tirkiya (neo-Osman\u00ee) \u00fb \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea de p\u00ea\u015fbirkek dijwar heye da ku valahiyan tij\u00ee bikin. Hi\u015fyar\u00ee di nav dezgeh\u00ean ewlehiy\u00ea de deng vedide: “Heke em niha tevnegerin, k\u00ealiya 1919an d\u00ea veguhere k\u00ealiya 1939an” – ku t\u00ea wateya \u015ferek\u00ee her\u00eam\u00ee y\u00ea ne\u00e7ar \u00fb gi\u015ft\u00ee.<\/p>\n

\u00c7arem: T\u00eakiliy\u00ean demk\u00ee an zewaceke berjewendiyan? Cewhera t\u00eakiliya Tirkiye-Lubnan\u00ea<\/strong><\/p>\n

T\u00eakiliya peywir\u00ee ya di navbera Tirkiya \u00fb Hizbullah\u00ea de bi \u015fert\u00ean hi\u015fk ve t\u00ea r\u00eavebirin ku form \u00fb s\u00eenor\u00ean w\u00ea diyar dikin:<\/p>\n

Cewhera hevpeymaniy\u00ea: “Dijmin\u00ea dijmin\u00ea min,” ne “heval\u00ea heval\u00ea min e” <\/strong><\/p>\n

Ten\u00ea xala hevpar \u00cesra\u00eel e. L\u00eabel\u00ea, armanc bi awayek\u00ee rad\u00eekal ji hev cuda ne: Tirkiya li hegemonyaya her\u00eam\u00ee digere \u00fb bandora xwe wek\u00ee h\u00eazek her\u00eam\u00ee berfireh dike, l\u00ea Hizbullah – bi teor\u00eek\u00ee – li berxwedana li dij\u00ee \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea digere \u00fb heb\u00fbna xwe dipar\u00eaze. Her du armanc ji hev cuda ne, l\u00ea di demek kurt \u00fb nav\u00een de li hev dicivin.<\/p>\n

\u015e\u00eawey\u00ea t\u00eakiliy\u00ea: “Ragirtin”, ne “entegrasyon”<\/strong><\/p>\n

Tirkiya le\u015fkeran na\u015f\u00eene ku li k\u00ealeka Hizbullah\u00ea li dij\u00ee \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea \u015fer bikin. L\u00eabel\u00ea, dibe ku di forum\u00ean navnetewey\u00ee de ji bo partiy\u00ea (bi \u015f\u00eawey\u00ea w\u00ea y\u00ea n\u00fb \u00fb bi hevpeyman\u00ean xwe y\u00ean n\u00fb) s\u00eewana d\u00eeplomat\u00eek peyda bike \u00fb p\u00ea\u015f\u00ee li tecr\u00eeda w\u00ea ya tevah\u00ee bigire. Ew bandora xwe bi kar t\u00eene da ku p\u00ea\u015f\u00ee li derxistina biryar\u00ean navnetewey\u00ee y\u00ean biryardar li dij\u00ee partiy\u00ea bigire. Herwiha ew dest\u00fbr\u00ea dide – bi nepeniya her\u00ee z\u00eade \u00fb \u00eenkara ferm\u00ee ya tevah\u00ee – ku fon\u00ean s\u00eenorkir\u00ee an \u00e7ekan ji partiy\u00ea re veguhez\u00eene, wek\u00ee garantiyek ji bo berdewamiya diyalog\u00ea.<\/p>\n

S\u00eenor\u00ean hevpeymaniy\u00ea: P\u00eakan e di her k\u00ealiy\u00ea de b\u00ea \u015fkandin<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ev “hevpeyman” ne zewacek p\u00eeroz e, l\u00ea zewacek demk\u00ee ya guncaw e ku bi \u015fert \u00fb merc\u00ean objekt\u00eef ve gir\u00eaday\u00ee ye: Ji perspekt\u00eefa Tirkiyay\u00ea, heger ew hest bike ku Hizbullah projeya w\u00ea li S\u00fbriyay\u00ea asteng dike, an j\u00ee b\u00fbye barek\u00ee stratej\u00eek \u00fb l\u00ea\u00e7\u00fbnek giran, ew \u00ea tavil\u00ea b\u00eay\u00ee dudil\u00ee li dij\u00ee w\u00ea derkeve. Ji perspekt\u00eefa Hizbullah, heger serok\u00ean partiy\u00ea hest bikin ku Tirkiya wan wek\u00ee piyon di pev\u00e7\u00fbna xwe ya bi \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea re li ser hesab\u00ea wan bi kar t\u00eene, an j\u00ee dixwaze wan wek\u00ee “qurbaniyek” ji bo rewatiya navnetewey\u00ee radest bike, ew \u00ea tavil\u00ea ji t\u00eakiliy\u00ea veki\u015fin \u00fb dibe ku bibin dijber\u00ean dijwar j\u00ee.<\/p>\n

P\u00eancem\u00een: Ti\u015ft ber bi ku ve di\u00e7in? Senaryoya p\u00eakan (2026-2028)<\/strong><\/p>\n

Li gor\u00ee anal\u00eeza ber\u00ea, r\u00ea\u00e7eyek p\u00eakan a b\u00fbyer\u00ean di sal\u00ean p\u00ea\u015f de dikare were destn\u00ee\u015fankirin:<\/p>\n

Qonaxa Yekem: Ragirtin \u00fb navbeynkar\u00ee<\/strong><\/p>\n

Tirkiya di navbera Hizbullah \u00fb hik\u00fbmeta n\u00fb ya S\u00fbriyay\u00ea \u00fb di navbera Hizbullah \u00fb h\u00eaz\u00ean sun\u00ee y\u00ean Lubnan\u00ea de rola navbeynkariy\u00ea dil\u00eeze. Di v\u00ea qonax\u00ea de, Enqera soz\u00ean ve\u015fart\u00ee \u00fb neragihand\u00ee dide Hizbullah di derbar\u00ea “garant\u00ee” de ji bo heb\u00fbna w\u00ea li Lubnan\u00ea, li hember \u00e7areseriy\u00ean li ser erd\u00ea ku h\u00ead\u00ee h\u00ead\u00ee bandora partiy\u00ea di berjewendiya dewleta Lubnan\u00ea de k\u00eam dikin.<\/p>\n

Qonaxa Duyem: Belavb\u00fbna h\u00ead\u00ee h\u00ead\u00ee<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bi xurtkirina ragihandin\u00ea re, “memorandumeke t\u00eagiha\u015ftin\u00ea” ya ewlehiy\u00ea dikare di navbera Tirkiya \u00fb Lubnan\u00ea de were \u00eemzekirin. Ev \u00ea ne peymaneke parastin\u00ea ya tevah\u00ee be, l\u00ea ew \u00ea gaveke yekem be ber bi “hevpeymanek” le\u015fker\u00ee an “t\u00eakiliyan”. \u015e\u00eawirmend\u00ean le\u015fker\u00ee y\u00ean tirk d\u00ea bi hinceta “perwerdekirina art\u00ea\u015fa Lubnan\u00ea” \u00fb “p\u00ea\u015fxistina \u015fiyan\u00ean w\u00ea” ji bo Lubnan\u00ea werin \u015fandin. Odeyeke operasyon\u00ean hevbe\u015f a tirk-Lubnan\u00ea d\u00ea were damezrandin da ku s\u00eenor\u00ea ba\u015f\u00fbr bi\u015fop\u00eene, r\u00ea li ber heb\u00fbneke le\u015fker\u00ee ya n\u00eev-da\u00eem\u00ee veke.<\/p>\n

Qonaxa S\u00eayem: R\u00fbbir\u00fbb\u00fbna p\u00eakan<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ev senaryoya her\u00ee d\u00fbr \u00fb xeternak e. Ger Tirkiya hest bike ku heb\u00fbna w\u00ea li Lubnan\u00ea t\u00eara xwe xurt b\u00fbye \u00fb \u00cesra\u00eel li S\u00fbriyay\u00ea berdewam bike ku Tirkiyay\u00ea kontrol bike an j\u00ee zext\u00ea li ser bike, dibe ku ew ber bi r\u00fbbir\u00fbb\u00fbneke rasterasttir ve bi\u00e7e. Ev dikare wek\u00ee: Daxwaza e\u015fkere ya veki\u015f\u00eena \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea ji ax\u00ean dagirkir\u00ee y\u00ean Lubnan \u00fb S\u00fbriyay\u00ea; bicihkirina pergal\u00ean parastina heway\u00ee y\u00ean p\u00ea\u015fket\u00ee y\u00ean Tirkiyay\u00ea li Lubnan\u00ea (her \u00e7end ev ne mimk\u00fbn be); z\u00eadekirina pi\u015ftgiriya ji bo Hizbullah an mil\u00ees\u00ean din bi pere \u00fb \u00e7ekan wek\u00ee astengiyek e\u015fkere; \u00fb gir\u00eadana pirsgir\u00eaka Lubnan\u00ea bi pirsgir\u00eak\u00ean Xeza \u00fb Filist\u00een\u00ea ve, xwe wek\u00ee “sponsor”\u00ea \u00e7areseriyek berfireh li her\u00eam\u00ea p\u00ea\u015fk\u00ea\u015f dike.<\/p>\n

L\u00ea ev senaryo bi \u015fert \u00fb merc\u00ean dijwar ve gir\u00eaday\u00ee ye: Veki\u015f\u00eena tevah\u00ee ya\u00a0 Amer\u00eekay\u00ea ji her\u00eam\u00ea (niha ne p\u00eakan e), peymanek tevah\u00ee ya Ereb-Tirkiyay\u00ea (gengaz e, nemaze bi Erebistana Si\u00fbd\u00ee re) \u00fb veki\u015f\u00eenek ewleh\u00ee an siyas\u00ee ya \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea (ne t\u00ea \u00e7aver\u00eakirin ku di p\u00ea\u015feroja n\u00eaz\u00eek de \u00e7\u00eabibe).<\/p>\n

Encam: Guhartin, ne m\u00eerat<\/strong><\/p>\n

Li vir em digih\u00eejin xala sereke ya v\u00ea anal\u00eez\u00ea: Ti\u015ft\u00ea ku Tirkiya li Lubnan\u00ea dike ne “m\u00eerat” a rola dij\u00ee-\u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea ya \u00ceran\u00ea ye, l\u00ea bel\u00ea “guhartinek” tevah\u00ee ya modela \u00ceran\u00ea bi modelek tirk\u00ee ya bi bingeh\u00een cuda ye.<\/p>\n

\u00ceran li dij\u00ee \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea xwe disp\u00eare mil\u00ees \u00fb \u00e7alakiy\u00ean le\u015fker\u00ee y\u00ean c\u00eehad\u00eest. Ji aliy\u00ea din ve, Tirkiya xwe disp\u00eare dewlet\u00ea, art\u00ea\u015fa xwe ya bir\u00eak\u00fbp\u00eak, d\u00eeplomas\u00ee, abor\u00ee \u00fb hevkariy\u00ean her\u00eam\u00ee y\u00ean berfireh bi Erebistana Si\u00fbd\u00ee, Qeter \u00fb Misir\u00ea re \u00fb b\u00ea guman, gava p\u00eaw\u00eest be, mil\u00ees\u00ean c\u00eehad\u00eest.<\/p>\n

Di v\u00ea modela n\u00fb de, Hizbullah ne “hevalbendek stratej\u00eek” e, l\u00ea bel\u00ea astengiyek e ku div\u00ea were derbaskirin ger ew dev ji tesl\u00eemb\u00fbn\u00ea berde, an j\u00ee am\u00fbrek e ku dikare demk\u00ee were bikaran\u00een ger ew \u015fert\u00ean Tirkiyay\u00ea qeb\u00fbl bike. \u00c7aren\u00fbsa w\u00ea bi \u015fiyana w\u00ea ya entegreb\u00fbna nav qada bandora Tirkiyay\u00ea ve gir\u00eaday\u00ee ye.<\/p>\n

Ji bo \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea, xetera rast\u00een ne di wergirtina pi\u015ftgiriya Hizbullah ji Tirkiyay\u00ea de ye, l\u00ea di w\u00ea de ye ku dewleta Lubnan\u00ea bi xwe bikeve bin bandora Enqeray\u00ea. Ev yek \u015fer\u00ea p\u00ea\u015feroj\u00ea bi tevah\u00ee ji her ti\u015ft\u00ea ber\u00ea cuda dike: ne “\u00cesra\u00eel li dij\u00ee mil\u00eesek\u00ea” di \u015ferek\u00ee ger\u00eela y\u00ea as\u00eemetr\u00eek de, l\u00ea \u00cesra\u00eel li dij\u00ee dewletek \u00eeslam\u00ee ya sun\u00ee ya bih\u00eaz, r\u00eaxistinkir\u00ee \u00fb navend\u00ee ku bandorek berfireh li du welatan (S\u00fbriya \u00fb Lubnan) li ser s\u00eenor\u00ea w\u00ea y\u00ea bakur heye.<\/p>\n

Pirsa stratej\u00eek a ku \u00eero Tileb\u00eeb p\u00ea re r\u00fb bi r\u00fb ye – \u00fb bersivek zelal tune – ev e: Gelo ji bo \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea \u00e7\u00eatir e ku bi “Hizbullaha Lubnan\u00ea” a qels, westiyay\u00ee \u00fb kaot\u00eek re mij\u00fbl bibe, an j\u00ee bi “Lubnaneke tirk\u00ee” ya ba\u015f-r\u00eaxistinkir\u00ee, r\u00eavebir\u00ee \u00fb pi\u015ftgir\u00eekir\u00ee ya her\u00eam\u00ee re mij\u00fbl bibe?<\/p>\n

Bi awayek\u00ee ec\u00eab, dibe ku \u00cesra\u00eel di demek\u00ea de b\u00eariya roj\u00ean “berxwedana” li ser bingeha mil\u00eesan bike, dema ku dijmin \u00fb s\u00eenor\u00ean xwe dizan\u00eeb\u00fb \u00fb kif\u015f bike ku r\u00fbbir\u00fbb\u00fbna “kevana c\u00eehad\u00eest a osman\u00ee” ji r\u00fbbir\u00fbb\u00fbna mil\u00eesek serhild\u00ear pir dijwartir e. Ev bingeha dilema stratej\u00eek e ku d\u00ea sal\u00ean p\u00ea\u015f de Rojhilata Nav\u00een bi r\u00ea ve bibe.<\/p>\n

\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Yek\u00eeneya L\u00eakol\u00een\u00ean Tirk\u00ee Made bi ereb\u00ee j\u00ee heye \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0629 Bi r\u00fbxandina lezg\u00een a serweriya \u00ceran\u00ea, Tirkiya wek\u00ee aktorek\u00ee navend\u00ee ku xwed\u00ee d\u00eetineke bi temam\u00ee cuda ji ya ku di du dehsal\u00ean bor\u00ee de serdest b\u00fb, derdikeve p\u00ea\u015f. T\u00eakiliy\u00ean di navbera Tirkiya \u00fb Hizbullah\u00ea de ne ten\u00ea guhartineke di l\u00eesteya hevalbendan de ye, l\u00ea bel\u00ea p\u00eanasekirineke […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":14425,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":[],"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_social_meta":[],"jnews_override_counter":[],"jnews_post_split":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[22,59],"tags":[],"ppma_author":[191],"class_list":["post-14424","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-manshet","category-nirxandin"],"yoast_head":"\nHuzbullah di navbera du kevanan de: \u015e\u00ee\u00ee \u00fb Osman\u00ee - Navenda Kurd\u00ee ya L\u00eakol\u00eenan<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/nlka.net\/ku\/1-201\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Huzbullah di navbera du kevanan de: \u015e\u00ee\u00ee \u00fb Osman\u00ee - Navenda Kurd\u00ee ya L\u00eakol\u00eenan\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Yek\u00eeneya L\u00eakol\u00een\u00ean Tirk\u00ee Made bi ereb\u00ee j\u00ee heye \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0629 Bi r\u00fbxandina lezg\u00een a serweriya \u00ceran\u00ea, Tirkiya wek\u00ee aktorek\u00ee navend\u00ee ku xwed\u00ee d\u00eetineke bi temam\u00ee cuda ji ya ku di du dehsal\u00ean bor\u00ee de serdest b\u00fb, derdikeve p\u00ea\u015f. 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