{"id":14257,"date":"2026-01-04T10:54:27","date_gmt":"2026-01-04T10:54:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nlka.net\/ku\/?p=14257"},"modified":"2026-01-04T10:54:27","modified_gmt":"2026-01-04T10:54:27","slug":"1-161","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nlka.net\/ku\/1-161\/","title":{"rendered":"Stratejiya bicihb\u00fbna Tirkiyay\u00ea \u00fb bir\u00eavebirina “bermahiy\u00ean eksena \u00ceran\u00ea”"},"content":{"rendered":"

Yek\u00eeneya L\u00eakol\u00een\u00ean Tirk\u00ee<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bi sedema kr\u00eez\u00ean navxwey\u00ee \u00fb derfeta ku ji ber valahiya her\u00eam\u00ee peyda dibe, Tirkiya ber bi pejirandina stratejiyeke “hegemonyaya nerm” li Rojhilata Nav\u00een ve di\u00e7e. Armanca w\u00ea \u00ead\u00ee ne guhartina rej\u00eem\u00ea bi r\u00eaya destwerdana rasterast e, l\u00ea bel\u00ea ew e ku bibe “h\u00eazeke navbeynkar \u00fb r\u00eavebirin\u00ea” ya ne\u00e7ar. Ev stratej\u00ee xwe disp\u00eare kontrolkirin \u00fb jin\u00fbvebikaran\u00eena am\u00fbr\u00ean bandora \u00ceran\u00ea y\u00ean k\u00eam dibin (wek Hizbulah \u00fb kom\u00ean s\u00fbriyay\u00ee) \u00fb veguherandina wan bo “sermayey\u00ean jeopol\u00eet\u00eek \u00ean peywir\u00ee” di bin kontrola xwe de. Armanca sereke ew e ku “hevsengiyek gef\u00ea” \u00fb “nezelaliya stratej\u00eek a kontrolkir\u00ee” ya n\u00fb biafir\u00eene ku du ti\u015ftan ji bo Tirkiyay\u00ea bi dest dixe:<\/p>\n

– R\u00ea li ber \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea bigire ku bi awayek\u00ee yekal\u00ee pergala her\u00eam\u00ee ya derket\u00ee \u015fekil bide.<\/p>\n

– Ferzkirina Tirkiyay\u00ea wek\u00ee navbeynkar \u00fb h\u00eazek r\u00eavebirin\u00ea ya bingeh\u00een, da ku ew bikaribe kr\u00eez\u00ean xwe y\u00ean abor\u00ee bi r\u00ea ve bibe \u00fb wan veguher\u00eene destkeftiy\u00ean jeopol\u00eet\u00eek.<\/p>\n

Ev gotar v\u00ea stratejiya derket\u00ee hol\u00ea vedikole, bi mot\u00eevasyon\u00ean w\u00ea y\u00ean bingeh\u00een (aboriya heb\u00fbn\u00ee, bir\u00eavebirina hilwe\u015f\u00eena \u00ceran\u00ea \u00fb astengkirina bi wek\u00eel), di mekan\u00eezmay\u00ean p\u00eakan\u00eena w\u00ea de bi r\u00eaya ” wek\u00eeltiya pragmat\u00eek” bi aktor\u00ean nedewlet\u00ee re dest p\u00ea dike \u00fb di ceribandina w\u00ea ya sereke li S\u00fbriyay\u00ea de digih\u00eeje l\u00fbtkey\u00ea. Herwiha ew dijwariy\u00ean avah\u00eesaziy\u00ea y\u00ean ku ew p\u00ea re r\u00fb bi r\u00fb ye anal\u00eez dike (rew\u015fa navxwey\u00ee ya Tirkiyay\u00ea, dilemaya k\u00eamneteweyan \u00fb tengezar\u00eey\u00ean bi NATOy\u00ea re). Di dawiy\u00ea de, ew senaryoy\u00ean potansiyel \u00ean \u00e7aren\u00fbsa w\u00ea destn\u00ee\u015fan dike: Serkeftin, r\u00eavebirineke bialoz, an r\u00fbbir\u00fbb\u00fbn \u00fb pa\u015fveki\u015fandin.<\/p>\n

Serkeftina Tirkiyay\u00ea di v\u00ea stratejiy\u00ea de bi \u015fiyana w\u00ea ya bir\u00eavebirina du nakokiy\u00ean bingeh\u00een ve gir\u00eaday\u00ee ye: Yek navxwey\u00ee (di navbera armanca projey\u00ea \u00fb l\u00ea\u00e7\u00fbn\u00ean w\u00ea y\u00ean abor\u00ee \u00fb siyas\u00ee de) \u00fb ya din dervey\u00ee (di navbera bikaran\u00eena endametiya NATOy\u00ea wek\u00ee mertalek \u00fb \u015fopandina siyaset\u00ean ku berjewendiy\u00ean rojavay\u00ee t\u00eak dibin). Nekar\u00eena bir\u00eavebirina yek ji van nakokiyan dikare v\u00ea “hegemonyaya nerm” veguher\u00eene windahiyek stratej\u00eek.<\/p>\n

P\u00ea\u015fb\u00eeniy\u00ean sereke:<\/strong><\/p>\n

– Berdewamkirina fi\u015far\u00ean abor\u00ee y\u00ean avah\u00eesaziy\u00ea y\u00ean berdewam li ser Tirkiyay\u00ea wek\u00ee faktorek sereke di kontrolkirina siyaseta w\u00ea ya derve de.<\/p>\n

– Berdewamkirina k\u00eamb\u00fbna nisb\u00ee ya bandora rasterast a \u00ceran\u00ea li \u015eam\u00ea, her \u00e7end Tehran bi r\u00eaya wek\u00eel\u00ean xwe heta radeyek\u00ea manevrab\u00fbn\u00ea dipar\u00eaze (her \u00e7end n\u00ee\u015fan\u00ean v\u00ea yek\u00ea hindik in).<\/p>\n

– Tu guhertinek di p\u00ea\u015f\u00eeniy\u00ean stratej\u00eek \u00ean Amer\u00eekay\u00ea de (rikberiya bi R\u00fbsyay\u00ea re) xuya nake ku nirx\u00ea Tirkiyay\u00ea wek\u00ee hevalbendek di p\u00ea\u015feroja n\u00eaz\u00eek de k\u00eam bike.<\/p>\n

– \u00cesra\u00eel li hember gef\u00ean ji aktor\u00ean ne-dewlet\u00ee hi\u015fyar xuya dike, \u00e7areseriy\u00ean nerasterast terc\u00eeh dike ku bi Tirkiyay\u00ea re r\u00fb bi r\u00fb bim\u00eene. Wiha dixuye ku \u00cesra\u00eel bi n\u00ee\u015fanan (wek\u00eel\u00ean Tirkiyay\u00ea li S\u00fbriyay\u00ea) \u00fb nerasterast (bersiva di hundir\u00ea S\u00fbriyay\u00ea de dide) re mij\u00fbl dibe, li \u015f\u00fbna ku sedem\u00ean bingeh\u00een \u00fb \u00e7avkaniy\u00ean gef\u00ea (Tirkiya) \u00e7areser bike.<\/p>\n

Aktor\u00ean sereke di anal\u00eez\u00ea de:<\/strong><\/p>\n

– Aktor\u00ea sereke (motor): Tirkiya (serkirdayetiya siyas\u00ee, saziy\u00ean ewlehiy\u00ea, nirxandin\u00ean abor\u00ee).<\/p>\n

– Aktor\u00ean bir\u00eavebir\u00ee (am\u00fbr): Hizbulah, kom\u00ean s\u00fbriyay\u00ee y\u00ean dilsoz\u00ea Tirkiyay\u00ea.<\/p>\n

– Aktor\u00ean rikber\/armanckir\u00ee: \u00cesra\u00eel, \u00ceran (wek hevkar\/rikber\u00ea Tirkiyey\u00ea).<\/p>\n

– Aktor\u00ean astengker\/s\u00eenordarker: Amer\u00eeka, NATO \u00fb R\u00fbsya.<\/p>\n

– Aktor\/\u00e7\u00eep\u00ean dan\u00fbstandin\u00ea y\u00ean bandor li wan dibe: K\u00eamnetewey\u00ean s\u00fbriyay\u00ee (kurd, elew\u00ee, durz\u00ee \u00fb xiristiyan), rej\u00eema S\u00fbriyay\u00ea, dewlet\u00ean ereb (Erebistana Si\u00fbd\u00ee, \u00cemarat\u00ean Yekb\u00fby\u00ee y\u00ean Ereb\u00ee, Misir).<\/p>\n

Xal\u00ean veguhartin\u00ea\/hi\u015fyariy\u00ean z\u00fb:<\/strong><\/p>\n

– N\u00ee\u015faneyek gir\u00eeng a navxwey\u00ee ya Tirkiyay\u00ea: Z\u00eadeb\u00fbna t\u00fbj a kr\u00eeza abor\u00ee (hilwe\u015f\u00eena dirav\u00ee, nearamiya civak\u00ee) dikare serokatiy\u00ea ne\u00e7ar bike ku pa\u015fveki\u015finek takt\u00eek\u00ee an j\u00ee serp\u00eahatiyek dervey\u00ee bike da ku bal\u00ea biki\u015f\u00eene ser xwe.<\/p>\n

– N\u00ee\u015faneyek her\u00eam\u00ee ya xeternak: Her gurb\u00fbneke mezin di navbera Hizbulah (di bin s\u00eewana lihevkirin\u00ean Tirkiya-\u00ceran\u00ea de) \u00fb \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea de, ku bibe sedema qurban\u00ee yan zirara stratej\u00eek ji bo \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea, dikare Tileb\u00eeb\u00ea ne\u00e7ar bike ku ji n\u00fb ve hesab bike \u00fb rasterast bersiv\u00ea bide binesaziya Tirkiyay\u00ea li S\u00fbriyey\u00ea.<\/p>\n

– N\u00ee\u015faneyek navnetewey\u00ee ya potansiyel: Derxistina qan\u00fbn\u00ean n\u00fb y\u00ean amer\u00eekay\u00ee yan ewropay\u00ee ku cezay\u00ean rasterast li ser saziy\u00ean Tirkiyay\u00ea y\u00ean bi r\u00eavebirina van mil\u00eesan ve gir\u00eaday\u00ee ferz dike, bi v\u00ee reng\u00ee aliy\u00ea daray\u00ee y\u00ea stratejiy\u00ea seqet dike.<\/p>\n

P\u00ea\u015fgotin<\/strong><\/p>\n

Rola Tirkiyay\u00ea \u00ead\u00ee bi guhertina rej\u00eem\u00ea an destwerdana le\u015fker\u00ee ya rasterast ve ne s\u00eenordar e. Ew derbas\u00ee qonaxek tevlihevtir b\u00fbye, hewl dide ku “hegemonyayek nerm” bi kontrolkirin \u00fb r\u00eavebirina bermahiy\u00ean bandora hilwe\u015fiyay\u00ee ya \u00ceran\u00ea p\u00eak b\u00eene. Enqera stratejiyeke “hevsengiya gefan” dipejir\u00eene bi veguherandina n\u00fbner\u00ean kevne\u015fop\u00ee y\u00ean \u00ceran\u00ea (Hizbulah) bo kaxezeke fi\u015far\u00ea ya peywir\u00ee di nav derdoreke jeopol\u00eet\u00eek de. Armanca dual\u00ee ev e:<\/p>\n

– Astengkirina \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea ji jin\u00fbvex\u00eazkirina nex\u015feya her\u00eama n\u00fb bi awayek\u00ee yekal\u00ee.<\/p>\n

– Dagirtina valahiya stratej\u00eek bi navbeynkariy\u00ea ku Tirkiyay\u00ea wek\u00ee l\u00eestikvanek ne\u00e7ar saz dike.<\/p>\n

Ev stratej\u00ee rew\u015fek “nezelaliya jeopol\u00eet\u00eek a kontrolkir\u00ee” diafir\u00eene, ku bi r\u00eaya w\u00ea Tirkiya berjewendiy\u00ean xwe dipar\u00eaze \u00fb kr\u00eez\u00ean xwe y\u00ean navxwey\u00ee bi r\u00ea ve dibe.<\/p>\n

Ev gotar mekan\u00eezmay\u00ean v\u00ea veguher\u00een\u00ea, h\u00eaz\u00ean w\u00ea y\u00ean ajotin\u00ea y\u00ean navxwey\u00ee \u00fb dervey\u00ee, bertek\u00ean potansiyel \u00fb senaryoy\u00ean stratej\u00eek \u00ean t\u00eakildar vedikole. Ew qeb\u00fbl dike ku serkeftina Tirkiyay\u00ea bi \u015fiyana w\u00ea ya hevsengkirina pirsgir\u00eak\u00ean navxwey\u00ee bi xeterey\u00ean ku ji pev\u00e7\u00fbna berjewendiyan di navbera h\u00eaz\u00ean navnetewey\u00ee \u00fb her\u00eam\u00ee y\u00ean bibandor de derdikevin ve gir\u00eaday\u00ee ye.<\/p>\n

Yekem – Mot\u00eef\u00ean Tirkiyay\u00ea<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ev guhartina bingeh\u00een a Tirkiyay\u00ea ne ten\u00ea ji valahiyek her\u00eam\u00ee derketiye hol\u00ea, l\u00ea bel\u00ea encama t\u00eakiliya s\u00ea mot\u00eef\u00ean bi hev ve gir\u00eaday\u00ee ye:<\/strong><\/p>\n

– Mot\u00eefa heb\u00fbn\u00ee-abor\u00ee (doktr\u00eena may\u00eendeb\u00fbn\u00ea bi r\u00eaya berfirehb\u00fbn\u00ea):<\/strong><\/p>\n

Tirkiya bi kr\u00eez\u00ean abor\u00ee y\u00ean avah\u00eesaziy\u00ea (enflasyon, k\u00eamas\u00ee \u00fb k\u00eamb\u00fbna yedek\u00ean dirav\u00ee y\u00ean biyan\u00ee) \u00fb kr\u00eez\u00ean civak\u00ee re r\u00fb bi r\u00fb ye. Projeya w\u00ea ya her\u00eam\u00ee ya p\u00ea\u015fb\u00eenkir\u00ee wek\u00ee am\u00fbrek ji bo “dervekirina” kr\u00eeza navxwey\u00ee t\u00ea bikaran\u00een, bi r\u00eaya bidestxistina destkeftiy\u00ean siyas\u00ee \u00fb ewlekirina destkeftiy\u00ean abor\u00ee y\u00ean potansiyel (bazar, r\u00eay\u00ean veguhastin\u00ea \u00fb \u00e7avkaniy\u00ean enerjiy\u00ea). Ew hewldanek e ku k\u00eamb\u00fbna abor\u00ee ya potansiyel veguher\u00eene gaveke jeopol\u00eet\u00eek.<\/p>\n

– Mot\u00eefa jeopol\u00eet\u00eek (r\u00eavebirina hilwe\u015f\u00eena \u00ceran\u00ea):<\/strong><\/p>\n

Enqerey\u00ea f\u00eam kir ku hilwe\u015f\u00eena r\u00eak\u00fbp\u00eak a bandora \u00ceran\u00ea ji hilwe\u015f\u00eenek kaot\u00eek ku dikare valahiyek \u00e7\u00eabike ku ji h\u00eala \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea ve were dagirtin an j\u00ee pev\u00e7\u00fbnan ji n\u00fb ve hilber\u00eene, s\u00fbdmendtir e. Tirkiya wek\u00ee “tasfiyekarek stratej\u00eek” an “par\u00eazvanek jeopol\u00eet\u00eek” \u00ea heb\u00fbn\u00ean her\u00eam\u00ee y\u00ean \u00ceran\u00ea tevdigere, ji hewcedariya lezg\u00een a Tehran\u00ea ji bo xeta jiyan\u00ea ya siyas\u00ee \u00fb abor\u00ee s\u00fbd werdigire da ku tecr\u00eeda xwe sivik bike.<\/p>\n

– Mot\u00eefa \u00eedeoloj\u00eek-ewlehiy\u00ea (astengkirina bi wekalet):<\/strong><\/p>\n

Rikberiya Tirkiya-\u00ceran\u00ea li S\u00fbriyay\u00ea ji pev\u00e7\u00fbnek heb\u00fbn\u00ee veguheriye celebek “entegrasyona parastin\u00ea ya bi zor\u00ea”. Tev\u00ee nakokiy\u00ean wan, her du welat bi ti\u015ftek\u00ee ku wek\u00ee “gefeke heb\u00fbn\u00ee ya hevpar” ji serdestiya mutleq a \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea \u00fb bilindb\u00fbna rola kurdan t\u00ea d\u00eetin re r\u00fb bi r\u00fb ne. S\u00fbriya, \u00ead\u00ee ne ten\u00ea kor\u00eedorek \u00ceran\u00ea ye, b\u00fbye “qada dan\u00fbstandin\u00ean sereke” ku ji h\u00eala Enqeray\u00ea ve t\u00ea r\u00eavebirin da ku v\u00ea astengkirin\u00ea bi dest bixe, di heman dem\u00ea de pi\u015ftrast dike ku ev ne li dij\u00ee r\u00eakeftin\u00ean demdir\u00eaj \u00ean S\u00fbriyay\u00ea ye ku Tirkiya dixwaze r\u00eaberiya w\u00ea bike.<\/p>\n

Duyem \u2013 Mekan\u00eezmaya bic\u00eehan\u00een\u00ea:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Enqera t\u00eakiliy\u00ean xwe bi aktor\u00ean nedewlet\u00ee re li gor\u00ee peymanek pragmat\u00eek a hi\u015fk ku ji \u00eedeolojiy\u00ea derbas dibe \u00fb s\u00fbd\u00ea dide berjewendiya hevbe\u015f ji n\u00fb ve ava dike:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Hizbullah: Ji “Berxwedan\u00ea” ber bi “endamek\u00ee cengxw\u00eeniy\u00ea”<\/strong><\/p>\n

– Bergiriya siyas\u00ee ji bo dis\u00eepl\u00eena takt\u00eek\u00ee: Tirkiya bergiriyek siyas\u00ee \u00fb d\u00eeplomat\u00eek peyda dike ku hewl dide hilwe\u015f\u00eena Hizbulah asteng bike an j\u00ee kontrol bike, di berd\u00eala pabendb\u00fbna xwe (li gor\u00ee peymanek r\u00eaxistinkir\u00ee bi \u00ceran\u00ea re) bi n\u00eaz\u00eekatiya Enqeray\u00ea re, ku hevsengiya bilindkirin \u00fb k\u00eamkirina \u015fer bi \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea re, an j\u00ee jin\u00fbvebicihkirina w\u00ea wek\u00ee “kartek fi\u015fara peywir\u00ea” di bin s\u00eewanek nisb\u00ee ya Tirkiyay\u00ea de, bi ronahiya kesk a \u00ceran\u00ea wek\u00ee \u015fertek ji bo berdewamiya w\u00ea, dihew\u00eene.<\/p>\n

–<\/strong> Am\u00fbra erdn\u00eegar\u00ee: Ev part\u00ee t\u00ea bikaran\u00een da ku “nezelaliya stratej\u00eek” biafir\u00eene ku \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea li bakur\u00ea w\u00ea \u00fb tewra li rojhilat\u00ea Deryaya Sp\u00ee tevlihev dike, bi v\u00ee reng\u00ee l\u00ea\u00e7\u00fbna her \u00e7alakiyek le\u015fker\u00ee ya \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea ya di p\u00eevanek mezin de z\u00eade dike \u00fb Tirkiyay\u00ea dike aliy\u00ea ku mifteya asta bilindkirina \u015fer kontrol dike.<\/p>\n

– Mil\u00ees\u00ean hegemon\u00eek \u00ean nerm: Aliy\u00ean s\u00fbriyay\u00ee y\u00ean dilsoz\u00ea Tirkiyay\u00ea ji am\u00fbr\u00ean \u015fer vediguherin “h\u00eaz\u00ean ewlehiy\u00ea” y\u00ean her\u00eam\u00ee. Rola w\u00ea ya n\u00fb ew e ku heb\u00fbna Tirkiyay\u00ea li \u00cedlib \u00fb bakur\u00ea S\u00fbriyay\u00ea xurt bike, rastiyek demograf\u00eek a n\u00fb biafir\u00eene \u00fb zext\u00ea li ser aliy\u00ean din (rej\u00eem \u00fb kurd) bike, di heman dem\u00ea de pi\u015ftrast bike ku ji kontrol\u00ea dernakeve da ku nebe barek\u00ee li ser t\u00eakiliy\u00ean Tirkiya-Rojava.<\/p>\n

S\u00eayem \u2013 Qada Ceribandin\u00ea: S\u00fbriya wek\u00ee “Laboratuwarek ji bo hegemonya nerm”<\/strong><\/p>\n

S\u00fbriya b\u00fbye qada sereke ji bo p\u00eakan\u00eena v\u00ea stratejiy\u00ea:<\/strong><\/p>\n

– Rej\u00eema S\u00fbriyay\u00ea (heb\u00fbna neb\u00fby\u00ee): Rej\u00eem (El-\u015eeri) bi v\u00ea rola Tirkiyay\u00ea re wek\u00ee rastiyeke hey\u00ee tevdigere \u00fb dibe ku w\u00ea wek\u00ee xerabiyek k\u00eamtir ji vebijark\u00ean din (berfirehb\u00fbna \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea, hilwe\u015f\u00eena tevah\u00ee) qeb\u00fbl bike. Dibe ku \u015eam bi xwe, di qonaxek pa\u015f\u00een de, bibe kaxezek dan\u00fbstandin\u00ea di navbera Enqera \u00fb Tehran\u00ea de (ev ten\u00ea \u00eeht\u00eemalek dim\u00eene, b\u00eay\u00ee ku n\u00ee\u015faney\u00ean berbi\u00e7av h\u00een pi\u015ftgir\u00ee bikin).<\/p>\n

– Kurd\u00ean S\u00fbriyay\u00ea (xala rojava ya aloz): Kurd, R\u00eaveberiya Xweser \u00fb H\u00eaz\u00ean S\u00fbriyaya Demokrat\u00eek ji bo stratejiya Tirkiyay\u00ea wek\u00ee dijwartir\u00een pirsgir\u00eak dim\u00eenin, ji ber ku ew Tirkiyay\u00ea dixin nav r\u00fbbir\u00fbb\u00fbna bi hevalbend\u00ea w\u00ea y\u00ea NATOy\u00ea (Amer\u00eeka), ku pi\u015ftgiriy\u00ea dide HSDy\u00ea. R\u00eavebirina v\u00ea pirsgir\u00eak\u00ea b\u00eay\u00ee z\u00eadeb\u00fbna rasterast ceribandinek gir\u00eeng a \u015fiyana manevray\u00ea ya Tirkiyay\u00ea ye.<\/p>\n

\u00c7arem \u2013 Pirsgir\u00eak \u00fb r\u00eesk\u00ean avahiy\u00ee: S\u00eenor\u00ean hegemonya nerm<\/strong><\/p>\n

Stratejiya Tirkiyey\u00ea bi r\u00eesk\u00ean ku dikarin heman kaos\u00ea ya ku ew hewl dide bi r\u00ea ve bibe, ji n\u00fb ve hilber\u00eenin re, r\u00fb bi r\u00fb ye:<\/strong><\/p>\n

– Pirsgir\u00eaka Navxwey\u00ee ya Tirkiyay\u00ea: Kr\u00eeza abor\u00ee dikare \u015fiyana Enqeray\u00ea ya ji bo berdewamiya projeya xwe ya p\u00ea\u015fb\u00een\u00eekir\u00ee \u00fb biha qels bike. Wek\u00ee din, her guher\u00eenek di hevsengiya navxwey\u00ee ya h\u00eaz\u00ea de di navbera dezgeh\u00ean le\u015fker\u00ee \u00fb ewlehiy\u00ea \u00fb serokatiya siyas\u00ee de dikare bibe sedema guher\u00een\u00ean nep\u00ea\u015fb\u00een\u00eekir\u00ee di arasteya her\u00eam\u00ee de.<\/p>\n

– Dilema k\u00eamnetewey\u00ean S\u00fbriyay\u00ea (bi wesfa Tirkiyay\u00ea: Bombeya demk\u00ee!): Bilindb\u00fbna Tirkiyay\u00ea di nav elew\u00ee, durz\u00ee, xiristiyan \u00fb b\u00ea guman, kurdan de tirs\u00ean heb\u00fbn\u00ea \u00e7\u00eadike. Tirsa ji “deryayek rad\u00eekal” an “Osmaniya N\u00fb” dibe ku wan ber bi parastin an hevpeymaniyek bi \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea re ve bibe, an j\u00ee li garantorek navnetewey\u00ee ya alternat\u00eef bigerin, bi \u015fert\u00ea ku \u00cesra\u00eel s\u00eenyal\u00ean t\u00ear bide \u00fb gavan bav\u00eaje da ku baweriyeke may\u00eende bi wan re ava bike.<\/p>\n

– Nakok\u00ee bi s\u00eestema NATOy\u00ea re: Endamtiya NATOy\u00ea di demek kurt de ji bo stratejiya Tirkiyay\u00ea mertalek parastin\u00ea peyda dike, ji ber ku \u00cesra\u00eel \u00fb Amer\u00eeka ji l\u00eadana hedef\u00ean ku di bin “s\u00eewana Tirkiyay\u00ea” de dixebitin (kom\u00ean \u00e7ekdar \u00ean ku ji h\u00eala Enqeray\u00ea ve t\u00eane pi\u015ftgir\u00eekirin) dudil in. L\u00eabel\u00ea, ev yek neraz\u00eeb\u00fbna Rojavay\u00ee ya ku dikare bigih\u00eaje xalek kr\u00eet\u00eek, bibe sedema sepandina cezayan (wek Qan\u00fbna Qeyser an qan\u00fbn\u00ean dij\u00ee teror\u00ea y\u00ean ku kom\u00ean ku ji h\u00eala Tirkiyay\u00ea ve t\u00eane pi\u015ftgir\u00eekirin hedef digirin), dibe ku stratejiy\u00ea felc bike an j\u00ee b\u00ea\u00eest\u00eeqrar bike.<\/p>\n

– R\u00eeska windakirina rola xwe ya “wek\u00eel”: Dibe ku al\u00ee, an j\u00ee Hizbulah, rojev\u00ean xwe y\u00ean her\u00eam\u00ee bi\u015fop\u00eenin an j\u00ee Tirkiyay\u00ea di pev\u00e7\u00fbn\u00ean nep\u00ea\u015fb\u00een\u00eekir\u00ee de bi h\u00eaz\u00ean navnetewey\u00ee re li S\u00fbriyay\u00ea tevl\u00eehev bikin, dibe ku Tirkiyay\u00ea ji “r\u00eaveberek\u00ea” veguher\u00eenin “aliyek\u00ee \u015fer”. L\u00eabel\u00ea, ev ten\u00ea nirxandinek e \u00fb hewcey\u00ea l\u00eakol\u00eeneke b\u00eatir e.<\/p>\n

P\u00eancem\u00een \u2013 \u015eer\u00ea li ser endazkirina s\u00eestema n\u00fb<\/strong><\/p>\n

– \u00ceran: Hevkar\u00ee wek\u00ee stratejiyeke heb\u00fbn\u00ea:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Tehran v\u00ea rol\u00ea wek\u00ee qonaxek veguh\u00eaz ji bo heb\u00fbn\u00ea qeb\u00fbl dike, l\u00ea t\u00eakiliy\u00ean xwe y\u00ean k\u00fbr bi wek\u00eel\u00ean xwe (Hizbulah) re dipar\u00eaze \u00fb hewl dide ku li ser perav\u00ea cihek\u00ee ava bike (her \u00e7end heta niha b\u00ea serkeftin be j\u00ee) wek\u00ee vebijarkeke veger\u00ea ya potansiyel. Ev t\u00eakil\u00ee h\u00een j\u00ee meyla w\u00ea heye ku bibe t\u00eako\u015f\u00eeneke ve\u015fart\u00ee ji bo bandor \u00fb kontrol\u00ea di nav qada S\u00fbriyay\u00ea de.<\/p>\n

– \u00cesra\u00eel: Ji serdestiya le\u015fker\u00ee ber bi pirsgir\u00eaka jeopol\u00eet\u00eek:<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00cesra\u00eel dizane ku gef ji \u00ear\u00ee\u015f\u00ean m\u00fb\u015fek\u00ee y\u00ean rasterast veguheriye “kaosa kontrolkir\u00ee”, ku vebijark\u00ean w\u00ea s\u00eenordar dike \u00fb l\u00ea\u00e7\u00fbna operasyon\u00ean w\u00ea z\u00eade dike. Ew dikare bi xurtkirina hevpeymaniya xwe bi Y\u00fbnanistan \u00fb Qibris\u00ea re (di war\u00ean gaz \u00fb hevkariya le\u015fker\u00ee de – ku hin aliy\u00ean w\u00ea v\u00ea dawiy\u00ea derketine hol\u00ea – bersiv bide), zext\u00ea li Washington\u00ea bike ku dorp\u00ea\u00e7ek\u00ea li ser Tirkiyay\u00ea ferz bike \u00fb dibe ku armanckirina komik\u00ean gir\u00eaday\u00ee Enqeray\u00ea (ev ji h\u00eala k\u00eamnetewe \u00fb kom\u00ean S\u00fbriyay\u00ea ve lezg\u00een e \u00fb t\u00ea xwestin \u00fb ji h\u00eala d\u00eeplomat\u00eek \u00fb siyas\u00ee ve erzan e).<\/p>\n

– Amer\u00eeka \u00fb NATO: Dilema hevalbendek\u00ee beraday\u00ee:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Washington bi rast\u00ee j\u00ee bi dilemayek\u00ea re r\u00fb bi r\u00fb ye: Li gor\u00ee t\u00eagiha\u015ftin \u00fb stratejiy\u00ean Washington\u00ea, Tirkiya hevalbendeke stratej\u00eek a gir\u00eeng di NATOy\u00ea de ye! L\u00eabel\u00ea, ew siyaset\u00ean ku berjewendiy\u00ean amer\u00eekay\u00ee t\u00eak dibin di\u015fop\u00eene (n\u00eaz\u00eekb\u00fbna bi R\u00fbsyay\u00ea re, kir\u00eena m\u00fb\u015fek\u00ean S-400 \u00fb niha pi\u015ftgiriya mil\u00ees\u00ean dijmin\u00ea \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea). Biryara amer\u00eekay\u00ee d\u00ea bi kiryarek hevseng a p\u00ea\u015f\u00eeniy\u00ean hevbe\u015f, di nav de s\u00eenordarkirina \u00ceran\u00ea, pi\u015ftgiriya \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea \u00fb p\u00ea\u015fbaziya bi R\u00fbsyay\u00ea re, ji bil\u00ee destn\u00ee\u015fankirina poz\u00eesyona Tirkiyay\u00ea di v\u00ea hevk\u00ea\u015fey\u00ea de, were bir\u00eavebirin. Ev xal hewcey\u00ea l\u00eakol\u00eenek b\u00eatir an ramanek nekevne\u015fop\u00ee ye.<\/p>\n

Dewlet\u00ean Ereb (Erebistana Si\u00fbd\u00ee, \u00cemarat \u00fb Misir) li c\u00eehek\u00ee digerin:<\/strong><\/p>\n

T\u00ea texm\u00eenkirin ku ev dewlet bilindb\u00fbna Tirkiyqy\u00ea wek\u00ee gefek li ser bandora xwe ya her\u00eam\u00ee dib\u00eenin, l\u00ea ew bi w\u00ea raman\u00ea ve gir\u00eaday\u00ee ne ku ew dikarin demk\u00ee ji Tirkiyay\u00ea wek\u00ee dijberiyek li hember \u00ceran\u00ea s\u00fbd werbigirin. L\u00eabel\u00ea, heke ev dewlet nirxandin\u00ean xwe ji n\u00fb ve binirx\u00eenin \u00fb rastiya ku rola Tirkiyay\u00ea ya z\u00eade dibe d\u00ea ji bo wan gefek demdir\u00eaj be, f\u00eam bikin, ev dibe ku wan te\u015fw\u00eeq bike ku hevpeyman\u00ean xwe bi \u00cesra\u00eel (normal\u00eezekirin) \u00fb Amer\u00eekay\u00ea re xurt bikin, an j\u00ee hewl bidin ku Tirkiyay\u00ea bi \u00e7av\u00ea xwe li rola w\u00ea ya z\u00eadeb\u00fby\u00ee bigirin an j\u00ee bi \u00e7\u00eakirina peyman\u00ean abor\u00ee bi w\u00ea re p\u00eak b\u00eenin.<\/p>\n

\u015ee\u015fem \u2013 Senaryoy\u00ean stratej\u00eek \u00ean gengaz<\/strong><\/p>\n

– Senaryoya hegemonyaya serkeft\u00ee (P\u00eakan\u00ee: K\u00eam-nav\u00een):<\/strong><\/p>\n

Tirkiya di bicihkirina rola xwe wek\u00ee “navbeynkar\u00ea ne\u00e7ar” de bi ser dikeve \u00fb ji poz\u00eesyoneke h\u00eaz\u00ea peymaneke n\u00fb ya her\u00eam\u00ee (di nav de bicihb\u00fbn\u00ean li S\u00fbriyay\u00ea, r\u00eakeftin\u00ean ewlehiy\u00ea bi \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea re \u00fb projey\u00ean enerjiy\u00ea) bi Washington \u00fb Moskoy\u00ea re dan\u00fbstandinan dike. Di v\u00ea navber\u00ea de, “may\u00eey\u00ean eksen\u00ea” vediguherin komeke zext\u00ea ya sun\u00ee\/neteweperest ku xizmet\u00ea ji berjewendiy\u00ean Tirkiyay\u00ea re dike.<\/p>\n

– Senaryoya r\u00eaveberiya aloz (P\u00eakan\u00ee: Bilind):<\/strong><\/p>\n

Tirkiya r\u00eaveberiya xwe ya tevlihev didom\u00eene l\u00ea di \u00e7ar\u00e7oveyek aloziy\u00ean domdar de: pev\u00e7\u00fbn\u00ean demk\u00ee bi kurdan re, zexta abor\u00ee ya Rojavay\u00ee \u00fb pev\u00e7\u00fbn\u00ean di navbera wek\u00eel\u00ean w\u00ea \u00fb \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea de. Her\u00eam di rew\u015fek b\u00ea\u00eest\u00eeqrariya domdar de dim\u00eene, ne \u015ferek\u00ee tevah\u00ee ye \u00fb ne j\u00ee a\u015ftiyek berfireh e, ku dikare ji Enqeray\u00ea re wek\u00ee xalek nav\u00een xizmet\u00ea bike.<\/p>\n

– Senaryoya p\u00eav\u00e7\u00fbn \u00fb pa\u015fveki\u015fandin\u00ea (P\u00eakan\u00ee: Nav\u00een):<\/strong><\/p>\n

Teq\u00eenek navxwey\u00ee li Tirkiyay\u00ea (abor\u00ee\/siyas\u00ee), b\u00fbyerek mezin bi \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea re (tevl\u00eeheviyek neba\u015f li dij\u00ee \u00cesra\u00eel\u00ea), an sepandina dorp\u00ea\u00e7\u00ean giran \u00ean Rojavay\u00ee dikare bibe sedema hilwe\u015f\u00eena stratejiy\u00ea. Dibe ku pev\u00e7\u00fbn\u00ean rasterast derkevin hol\u00ea, an j\u00ee Tirkiya dikare ji ni\u015fk\u00ea ve ji r\u00eavebirina dosyay\u00ea veki\u015fe, ku ev yek d\u00ea valahiyek nisb\u00ee an demk\u00ee biafir\u00eene.<\/p>\n

Heftem\u00een \u2013 P\u00ea\u015fniyar\u00ean stratej\u00eek<\/strong><\/p>\n

P\u00ea\u015fniyar ji bo (Dewlet\u00ean Kendav\u00ea \u00fb Y\u00fbnanistan):<\/strong><\/p>\n

– Bi lezkirina projey\u00ean gaz\u00ea li Rojhilat\u00ea Deryaya Sp\u00ee \u00fb d\u00fbrxistina Tirkiyay\u00ea ji wan, “eniya abor\u00ee” ya li dij\u00ee Tirkiyay\u00ea \u00e7alak bikin.<\/p>\n

– K\u00eamnetewey\u00ean S\u00fbriyay\u00ea, di nav de kurd, elew\u00ee, durz\u00ee, xiristiyan \u00fb suniy\u00ean nerm, wek\u00ee tamponek mirov\u00ee \u00fb siyas\u00ee li dij\u00ee berfirehb\u00fbna Tirkiyay\u00ea bi kar b\u00eenin \u00fb bi peydakirina \u015fert \u00fb merc\u00ean ewlehiy\u00ea \u00fb garantiy\u00ean zelal pi\u015ftgiriy\u00ea bidin wan.<\/p>\n

P\u00ea\u015fniyar ji bo h\u00eaz\u00ean navnetewey\u00ee (Amer\u00eeka\/Yek\u00eetiya Ewropay\u00ea):<\/p>\n

– “L\u00eesteya dual\u00ee” bi kar b\u00eenin: \u00c7ar\u00e7ovey\u00ean balk\u00ea\u015f ji bo hevkariya abor\u00ee \u00fb jeopol\u00eet\u00eek bi Tirkiyay\u00ea re (li ser ko\u00e7ber\u00ee, bazirgan\u00ee \u00fb enerjiy\u00ea) wek\u00ee te\u015fw\u00eeqek\u00ea p\u00ea\u015fk\u00ea\u015f bikin, di heman dem\u00ea de gef\u00ean cezay\u00ean hi\u015fk \u00ean di derbar\u00ea pirsgir\u00eak\u00ean maf\u00ean mirovan de \u00fb pi\u015ftgiriya ji bo mil\u00eesan wek\u00ee astengker bipar\u00eazin.<\/p>\n

– Hevkariya bi Tirkiyay\u00ea re di nav NATOy\u00ea de bi zelal\u00ee ji nirxandina siyaset\u00ean w\u00ea y\u00ean her\u00eam\u00ee \u00fb dan\u00eena xet\u00ean sor \u00ean zelal ji bo w\u00ea li S\u00fbriya \u00fb Lubnan\u00ea veqet\u00eenin.<\/p>\n

P\u00ea\u015fniyar ji bo \u00e7avd\u00ear\u00eekirin \u00fb hi\u015fyariya z\u00fb:<\/p>\n

– \u015eopandina n\u00ee\u015faney\u00ean navxwey\u00ee y\u00ean Tirkiyay\u00ea (r\u00eajeya enflasyon\u00ea, anket, retor\u00eeka el\u00eetan) wek\u00ee p\u00eevanek sereke ya berxwedana stratejiy\u00ea.<\/p>\n

– \u015eopandina her guhartinek di retor\u00eeka \u00ceran\u00ee de ji “hevkar\u00ee” ber bi “rikber\u00ee” ji bo bandor\u00ea di hundir\u00ea S\u00fbriyay\u00ea de, wek\u00ee n\u00ee\u015faneyek ji destp\u00eaka hilwe\u015f\u00eena hevpeymaniya bi zor\u00ea.<\/p>\n

T\u00eab\u00een\u00eeya daw\u00ee:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Stratejiya n\u00fb ya Tirkiyay\u00ea hewldanek w\u00earek \u00fb belk\u00ee b\u00eah\u00eav\u00ee tems\u00eel dike, da ku qelsiya navxwey\u00ee \u00fb valahiya her\u00eam\u00ee ya xwe veguher\u00eene h\u00eazek jeopol\u00eet\u00eek. Ew l\u00eestikeke xeternak e ku li ber qerax\u00ea t\u00ea l\u00eestin: Ji aliyek\u00ee ve aloz\u00ee \u00fb dabe\u015fb\u00fbn\u00ean navxwey\u00ee \u00fb ji aliy\u00ea din ve pev\u00e7\u00fbn\u00ean bi h\u00eaz\u00ean navnetewey\u00ee re.<\/p>\n

Serkeftina v\u00ea stratejiy\u00ea ne ten\u00ea bi d\u00eeplomasiya Enqeray\u00ea ve gir\u00eaday\u00ee ye, l\u00ea di heman dem\u00ea de bi gav\u00ean \u015fa\u015f \u00ean dijber\u00ean w\u00ea \u00fb \u015fiyana w\u00ea ya veguherandina “kaosa bir\u00eavebir\u00ee” bo “s\u00eestemeke n\u00fb” ya ku ji h\u00eala h\u00eaz\u00ean navnetewey\u00ee y\u00ean mezin ve t\u00ea qeb\u00fblkirin, her \u00e7end demk\u00ee be j\u00ee.<\/p>\n

Qonaxa din d\u00ea ceribandinek ji bo aramiya v\u00ea modela her\u00eefok a “hegemonyaya nerm” be.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Yek\u00eeneya L\u00eakol\u00een\u00ean Tirk\u00ee Bi sedema kr\u00eez\u00ean navxwey\u00ee \u00fb derfeta ku ji ber valahiya her\u00eam\u00ee peyda dibe, Tirkiya ber bi pejirandina stratejiyeke “hegemonyaya nerm” li Rojhilata Nav\u00een ve di\u00e7e. Armanca w\u00ea \u00ead\u00ee ne guhartina rej\u00eem\u00ea bi r\u00eaya destwerdana rasterast e, l\u00ea bel\u00ea ew e ku bibe “h\u00eazeke navbeynkar \u00fb r\u00eavebirin\u00ea” ya ne\u00e7ar. Ev stratej\u00ee xwe disp\u00eare […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":14258,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":[],"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_social_meta":[],"jnews_override_counter":[],"jnews_post_split":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[22,59],"tags":[],"ppma_author":[191],"class_list":["post-14257","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-manshet","category-nirxandin"],"yoast_head":"\nStratejiya bicihb\u00fbna Tirkiyay\u00ea \u00fb bir\u00eavebirina "bermahiy\u00ean eksena \u00ceran\u00ea" - Navenda Kurd\u00ee ya L\u00eakol\u00eenan<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/nlka.net\/ku\/1-161\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Stratejiya bicihb\u00fbna Tirkiyay\u00ea \u00fb bir\u00eavebirina "bermahiy\u00ean eksena \u00ceran\u00ea" - Navenda Kurd\u00ee ya L\u00eakol\u00eenan\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Yek\u00eeneya L\u00eakol\u00een\u00ean Tirk\u00ee Bi sedema kr\u00eez\u00ean navxwey\u00ee \u00fb derfeta ku ji ber valahiya her\u00eam\u00ee peyda dibe, Tirkiya ber bi pejirandina stratejiyeke “hegemonyaya nerm” li Rojhilata Nav\u00een ve di\u00e7e. 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Navenda Kurd\u00ee ya L\u00eakol\u00eenan","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/nlka.net\/ku\/1-161\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Stratejiya bicihb\u00fbna Tirkiyay\u00ea \u00fb bir\u00eavebirina \"bermahiy\u00ean eksena \u00ceran\u00ea\" - Navenda Kurd\u00ee ya L\u00eakol\u00eenan","og_description":"Yek\u00eeneya L\u00eakol\u00een\u00ean Tirk\u00ee Bi sedema kr\u00eez\u00ean navxwey\u00ee \u00fb derfeta ku ji ber valahiya her\u00eam\u00ee peyda dibe, Tirkiya ber bi pejirandina stratejiyeke “hegemonyaya nerm” li Rojhilata Nav\u00een ve di\u00e7e. Armanca w\u00ea \u00ead\u00ee ne guhartina rej\u00eem\u00ea bi r\u00eaya destwerdana rasterast e, l\u00ea bel\u00ea ew e ku bibe “h\u00eazeke navbeynkar \u00fb r\u00eavebirin\u00ea” ya ne\u00e7ar. 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